When the extra rewards are worth more than the fee, and whether they are depends almost entirely
on how much you spend. Of the 18 pairs below, the dearer card comes out
ahead for four of them at an illustrative household's
$2,205 a month — and the last column says where each one flips.
The short version
Add up your monthly card spending and compare it with the flip point in the table.
Count a credit only if you would have spent that money anyway.
Judge the second year, not the first — the sign-up bonus pays once and the fee every year.
Yearly figures are priced on an illustrative household spending $2,205 a month on a card — an assumption, not a statistic. The assumption, in full. The spending is scaled up and down with its proportions held, and caps
are honoured, which is why some cards are ahead only in a band rather than above a line.
What the number leaves out
Credits and perks. A travel credit, a lounge, a free night: each is worth its
face value only if you would have spent that money anyway. None is counted above, so a card
whose case rests on its perks looks worse here than on its issuer's page — deliberately.
Sign-up bonuses. They pay once, and a fee is charged every year. A bonus can
make the first year worth it on its own, and says nothing about the second.
Your valuation. A fee card that pays in points is only ahead if a point is worth
what the published valuation says to you.
What sets a point's value.
Point values: published industry valuations, most recently read 2026-09.
We track The Points Guy, Upgraded Points, NerdWallet, Frequent Miler and AwardWallet.
Every figure on this page is recomputed from that data when the site is built, so it
cannot quietly disagree with what Cardful tells you at a checkout.